Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 82.230397 92.015396 102.030349 113.016609 124.699565 136.723826 150.006035
2024-12-29 67.921523 82.064818 97.184189 114.426598 133.426512 153.613725 176.574429
2025-01-05 59.841205 76.528054 94.935777 116.499036 140.828354 167.210837 197.768151
2025-01-12 51.825035 69.999335 90.650131 115.438489 143.995950 175.511490 212.576057
2025-01-19 44.466612 63.430712 85.612317 112.860501 144.860584 180.737411 223.503983
2025-01-26 41.634970 61.962676 86.270210 116.645422 152.817383 193.828982 243.179616
2025-02-02 38.697532 60.056596 86.152610 119.297672 159.283329 205.088444 260.680901
2025-02-09 34.382248 56.024764 83.125290 118.176329 161.065336 210.744626 271.590414
2025-02-16 30.578339 52.345523 80.276263 117.040876 162.636021 216.000244 281.910560
2025-02-23 28.063895 50.198320 79.214193 117.984207 166.612283 224.016579 295.406072
2025-03-02 25.399936 47.626608 77.428525 117.869478 169.177459 230.268000 306.761874
2025-03-09 23.350137 45.767009 76.457514 118.690327 172.819924 237.758518 319.555154
2025-03-16 20.724775 42.885051 73.994406 117.511467 173.946526 242.236654 328.834548
2025-03-23 19.265006 41.655583 73.721650 119.152862 178.602968 251.012228 343.297758
2025-03-30 18.078384 40.750785 73.829836 121.245894 183.799227 260.433669 358.542465
2025-04-06 16.058126 38.331194 71.654835 120.163889 184.840362 264.674476 367.467609
2025-04-13 13.808162 35.307886 68.437326 117.520659 183.745238 266.175468 372.982905
2025-04-20 13.449425 35.507450 69.957404 121.400170 191.172595 278.335954 391.585691
2025-04-27 12.825636 35.181692 70.656672 124.117893 197.067983 288.583275 407.859990
2025-05-04 11.335793 33.142279 68.656527 122.968933 197.793654 292.279466 416.030630
2025-05-11 9.980277 31.204682 66.706657 121.805409 198.434399 295.821917 423.979360
2025-05-18 9.181732 30.267370 66.271047 122.772069 201.905969 302.954529 436.392581
2025-05-25 8.236280 28.928129 65.123501 122.654507 203.877108 308.147793 446.377888